Tag:NCAA Tournament Projections
Posted on: March 16, 2008 7:34 pm
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NCAA Tournament Projections (Recap)

I got 64 out of 65 teams this year. I had Illinois State in ahead of Oregon.

Seeding

I got 31 out of the 65 teams seeded correctly
I got 24 out of the 65 teams within one seed of their correct seed
I got 7 out of the 65 teams within two seeds of their correct seed
I got 2 out of the 65 teams within three seeds of their correct seed

Matchups

1 right out of 32

Posted on: March 16, 2008 6:32 pm
 

Corrected NCAA Tournament Projections

I had Villanova as my last team in, and I had 8 teams from the Big East. But, I forgot to take Ohio State out of my bracket.

Multiple bid conferences:


ACC (4)

Atlantic 10 (3)
Big 12 (6)
Big East (8)
Big Ten (4)
Missouri Valley (2)
Mountain West (2)
Pac-10 (5)
SEC (6)
Sun Belt (2)
West Coast (3)


Last 4 in:

62. Baylor
63. Illinois State
64. St. Joseph's
65. Villanova

Last 4 out:

66. Ohio State
67. Virginia Tech
68. Oregon
69. Massachusetts

Next 4 out:

70. Arizona State
71. Dayton
72. Virginia Commonwealth
73. New Mexico

Locks (57): Locks are teams that I think will make the NCAA Tournament regardless of what they do in the conference tournament. They are subject to change on a week-to-week basis. I added the other conferences to see how many at-larges could be left. Teams in bold won the automatic bid.

ACC (4): North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Miami
America East (1): Maryland-Baltimore County
Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier, Temple
Atlantic Sun (1): Belmont
Big 12 (4): Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma
Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Marquette, West Virginia
Big Sky (1): Portland State
Big South (1): Winthrop
Big Ten (4): Wisconsin, Michigan State, Purdue, Indiana
Big West (1): Cal State Fullerton
Colonial (1): George Mason
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Horizon (1): Butler
Ivy (1): Cornell
MAAC (1): Siena
Mid-American (1):
Kent State
Mid-Eastern (1): Coppin State
Missouri Valley (1): Drake
Mountain West (2): UNLV, BYU
Northeast (1): Mount St. Mary's
Ohio Valley (1): Austin Peay
Pac-10 (4): UCLA, Stanford, Southern California, Washington State
Patriot (1): American
SEC (5): Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Arkansas, Georgia
Southern (1): Davidson
Southland (1): Texas-Arlington
Summit (1): Oral Roberts
Sun Belt (1): Western Kentucky
SWAC (1): Mississippi Valley State
WAC (1): Boise State

West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary's, San Diego

Seeding: I use the S-curve to seed my teams. The top #1 seed is in the same region as the worst #2 seed, the best #3 seed, and so on.

*Play-in game participants
**Represents seeds in which the teams are listed from best to worst

1 seeds**: North Carolina, UCLA, Memphis, Kansas
2 seeds: Georgetown, Wisconsin, Texas, Tennessee
3 seeds**: Duke, Stanford, Xavier, Louisville
4 seeds: Notre Dame, Drake, Connecticut, Pittsburgh
5 seeds**: Indiana, Butler, Clemson, Vanderbilt
6 seeds: Purdue, Marquette, Michigan State, Washington State
7 seeds**: Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Southern California, UNLV
8 seeds: Mississippi State, West Virginia, Gonzaga, BYU
9 seeds**: Kansas State, Kent State, Arkansas, St. Mary's
10 seeds: Temple, Kentucky, Miami, Davidson
11 seeds**: Arizona, South Alabama, Georgia, Baylor
12 seeds: George Mason, Villanova, St. Joseph's, Illinois State
13 seeds**: Western Kentucky, San Diego, Siena, Cornell
14 seeds: Belmont, Cal State Fullerton, Boise State, Oral Roberts
15 seeds**: Austin Peay, Portland State, Winthrop, Texas-Arlington
16 seeds: Coppin State*, Mississippi Valley State, Mount St. Mary's, Maryland-Baltimore County, American

(1) East Region (Charlotte, NC)

(1) North Carolina vs. (16) Coppin State/Mississippi Valley State
(8) Mississippi State vs. (9) Kansas State
(5) Indiana vs. (12) George Mason
(4) Notre Dame vs. (13) Western Kentucky
(6) Purdue vs. (11) Arizona
(3) Duke vs. (14) Belmont
(7) Texas A&M vs. (10) Temple
(2) Georgetown vs. (7) Texas A&M

vs.

(4) Midwest Region (Detroit, MI)

(1) Kansas vs. (16) American
(8) BYU vs. (9) St. Mary's
(5) Vanderbilt vs. (12) Illinois State
(4) Pittsburgh vs. (13) Cornell
(6) Washington State vs. (11) Baylor
(3) Louisville vs. (14) Oral Roberts
(7) UNLV vs. (10) Davidson
(2) Tennessee vs. (15) Texas-Arlington

(2) West Region (Phoenix, AZ)

(1) UCLA vs. (16) Mount St. Mary's
(8) West Virginia vs. (9) Kent State
(5) Butler vs. (12) Villanova
(4) Drake vs. (13) San Diego
(6) Marquette vs. (11) South Alabama
(3) Stanford vs. (14) Cal State Fullerton
(7) Oklahoma vs. (10) Kentucky
(2) Wisconsin vs. (15) Portland State

vs.

(3) South Region (Houston, TX)

(1) Memphis vs. (16) Maryland-Baltimore County
(8) Gonzaga vs. (9) Arkansas
(5) Clemson vs. (12) St. Joseph's
(4) Connecticut vs. (13) Siena
(6) Michigan State vs. (11) Georgia
(3) Xavier vs. (14) Boise State
(7) Southern California vs. (10) Miami
(2) Texas vs. (15) Winthrop

All they did so far was announce the top seeds, so I am not cheating. Plus, they are going to a commercial now.
Posted on: March 16, 2008 5:24 pm
Edited on: March 16, 2008 6:06 pm
 

Final NCAA Tournament Projections

North Carolina, Texas-Arlington, Kansas, and Georgia all won in their championship games to get automatic bids to the NCAA Tournament. Bubble nation is very excited that Wisconsin won, but Georgia won, so the number of available at-large bids decreases again.

Multiple bid conferences:


ACC (4)

Atlantic 10 (3)
Big 12 (6)
Big East (8)
Big Ten (5)
Missouri Valley (2)
Mountain West (2)
Pac-10 (5)
SEC (6)
Sun Belt (2)
West Coast (3)


Last 4 in:

62. Baylor
63. Illinois State
64. St. Joseph's
65. Villanova

Last 4 out:

66. Ohio State
67. Virginia Tech
68. Oregon
69. Massachusetts

Next 4 out:

70. Arizona State
71. Dayton
72. Virginia Commonwealth
73. New Mexico

Locks (57): Locks are teams that I think will make the NCAA Tournament regardless of what they do in the conference tournament. They are subject to change on a week-to-week basis. I added the other conferences to see how many at-larges could be left. Teams in bold won the automatic bid.

ACC (4): North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Miami
America East (1): Maryland-Baltimore County
Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier, Temple
Atlantic Sun (1): Belmont
Big 12 (4): Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma
Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Marquette, West Virginia
Big Sky (1): Portland State
Big South (1): Winthrop
Big Ten (4): Wisconsin, Michigan State, Purdue, Indiana
Big West (1): Cal State Fullerton
Colonial (1): George Mason
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Horizon (1): Butler
Ivy (1): Cornell
MAAC (1): Siena
Mid-American (1):
Kent State
Mid-Eastern (1): Coppin State
Missouri Valley (1): Drake
Mountain West (2): UNLV, BYU
Northeast (1): Mount St. Mary's
Ohio Valley (1): Austin Peay
Pac-10 (4): UCLA, Stanford, Southern California, Washington State
Patriot (1): American
SEC (5): Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Arkansas, Georgia
Southern (1): Davidson
Southland (1): Texas-Arlington
Summit (1): Oral Roberts
Sun Belt (1): Western Kentucky
SWAC (1): Mississippi Valley State
WAC (1): Boise State

West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary's, San Diego

Seeding: I use the S-curve to seed my teams. The top #1 seed is in the same region as the worst #2 seed, the best #3 seed, and so on. I made sure that no team from the same conference face each other until the Elite Eight.

*Play-in game participants
**Represents seeds in which the teams are listed from best to worst

1 seeds**: North Carolina, UCLA, Memphis, Kansas
2 seeds: Georgetown, Wisconsin, Texas, Tennessee
3 seeds**: Duke, Stanford, Xavier, Louisville
4 seeds: Notre Dame, Drake, Connecticut, Pittsburgh
5 seeds**: Indiana, Butler, Clemson, Vanderbilt
6 seeds: Purdue, Marquette, Michigan State, Washington State
7 seeds**: Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Southern California, UNLV
8 seeds: Mississippi State, West Virginia, Gonzaga, BYU
9 seeds**: Kent State, Kansas State, Arkansas, St. Mary's
10 seeds: Temple, Kentucky, Miami, Davidson
11 seeds**: Arizona, South Alabama, Georgia, Baylor
12 seeds: George Mason, Ohio State, St. Joseph's, Illinois State
13 seeds**: Western Kentucky, San Diego, Siena, Cornell
14 seeds: Belmont, Cal State Fullerton, Boise State, Oral Roberts
15 seeds**: Austin Peay, Portland State, Winthrop, Texas-Arlington
16 seeds: Coppin State*, Mississippi Valley State, Mount St. Mary's, Maryland-Baltimore County, American

(1) East Region (Charlotte, NC)

(1) North Carolina vs. (16) Coppin State/Mississippi Valley State
(8) Mississippi State vs. (9) Kent State
(5) Indiana vs. (12) George Mason
(4) Notre Dame vs. (13) Western Kentucky
(6) Purdue vs. (11) Arizona
(3) Duke vs. (14) Belmont
(7) Texas A&M vs. (10) Temple
(2) Georgetown vs. (7) Texas A&M

vs.

(4) Midwest Region (Detroit, MI)

(1) Kansas vs. (16) American
(8) BYU vs. (9) St. Mary's
(5) Vanderbilt vs. (12) Illinois State
(4) Pittsburgh vs. (13) Cornell
(6) Washington State vs. (11) Baylor
(3) Louisville vs. (14) Oral Roberts
(7) UNLV vs. (10) Davidson
(2) Tennessee vs. (15) Texas-Arlington

(2) West Region (Phoenix, AZ)

(1) UCLA vs. (16) Mount St. Mary's
(8) West Virginia vs. (9) Kansas State
(5) Butler vs. (12) Ohio State
(4) Drake vs. (13) San Diego
(6) Marquette vs. (11) South Alabama
(3) Stanford vs. (14) Cal State Fullerton
(7) Oklahoma vs. (10) Kentucky
(2) Wisconsin vs. (15) Portland State

vs.

(3) South Region (Houston, TX)

(1) Memphis vs. (16) Maryland-Baltimore County
(8) Gonzaga vs. (9) Arkansas
(5) Clemson vs. (12) St. Joseph's
(4) Connecticut vs. (13) Siena
(6) Michigan State vs. (11) Georgia
(3) Xavier vs. (14) Boise State
(7) Southern California vs. (10) Miami
(2) Texas vs. (15) Winthrop

All they did so far was announce the top seeds, so I am not cheating. Plus, they are going to a commercial now.
Posted on: March 16, 2008 3:14 pm
Edited on: March 16, 2008 3:19 pm
 

NCAA Tournament Projections (3 P.M. update)

North Carolina and Texas-Arlington won their conference tournaments to claim automatic bids.

Multiple bid conferences:


ACC (4)

Atlantic 10 (3)
Big 12 (6)
Big East (8)
Big Ten (5)
Missouri Valley (2)
Mountain West (2)
Pac-10 (5)
Sun Belt (2)

West Coast (3)


Last 4 in:

62. Illinois State
63. St. Joseph's
64. Villanova
65. Ohio State

Last 4 out:

66. Virginia Tech
67. Oregon
68. Massachusetts
69. Arizona State

Next 4 out:

70. Dayton
71. Virginia Commonwealth
72. New Mexico
73. Mississippi

Locks (56): Locks are teams that I think will make the NCAA Tournament regardless of what they do in the conference tournament. They are subject to change on a week-to-week basis. I added the other conferences to see how many at-larges could be left. Teams in bold won the automatic bid.

ACC (4): North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Miami
America East (1): Maryland-Baltimore County
Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier, Temple
Atlantic Sun (1): Belmont
Big 12 (4): Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma
Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Marquette, West Virginia
Big Sky (1): Portland State
Big South (1): Winthrop
Big Ten (4): Wisconsin, Michigan State, Purdue, Indiana
Big West (1): Cal State Fullerton
Colonial (1): George Mason
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Horizon (1): Butler
Ivy (1): Cornell
MAAC (1): Siena
Mid-American (1):
Kent State
Mid-Eastern (1): Coppin State
Missouri Valley (1): Drake
Mountain West (2): BYU, UNLV
Northeast (1): Mount St. Mary's
Ohio Valley (1): Austin Peay
Pac-10 (4): UCLA, Stanford, Southern California, Washington State
Patriot (1): American
SEC (4): Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Arkansas
Southern (1): Davidson
Southland (1): Texas-Arlington
Summit (1): Oral Roberts
Sun Belt (1): Western Kentucky
SWAC (1): Mississippi Valley State
WAC (1): Boise State

West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary's, San Diego

Seeding: I use the S-curve to seed my teams. The top #1 seed is in the same region as the worst #2 seed, the best #3 seed, and so on.

*Play-in game participants
**Represents seeds in which the teams are listed from best to worst

1 seeds**: North Carolina, UCLA, Memphis, Kansas
2 seeds: Georgetown, Wisconsin, Texas, Tennessee
3 seeds**: Duke, Stanford, Xavier, Louisville
4 seeds: Notre Dame, Drake, Connecticut, Pittsburgh
5 seeds**: Butler, Indiana, Clemson, Vanderbilt
6 seeds: Purdue, Marquette, Michigan State, Washington State
7 seeds**: Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Southern California, BYU
8 seeds: West Virginia, Gonzaga, Arkansas, UNLV
9 seeds**: Mississippi State, Kent State, Kansas State, St. Mary's
10 seeds: Temple, Kentucky, Miami, Davidson
11 seeds**: Arizona, South Alabama, Illinois State, Baylor
12 seeds: George Mason, Villanova, Ohio State, St. Joseph's
13 seeds**: Western Kentucky, San Diego, Siena, Cornell
14 seeds: Belmont, Cal State Fullerton, Boise State, Oral Roberts
15 seeds**: Austin Peay, Portland State, Winthrop, Texas-Arlington
16 seeds: Coppin State*, Mississippi Valley State, Mount St. Mary's, Maryland-Baltimore County, American
Posted on: March 16, 2008 2:38 pm
Edited on: March 16, 2008 2:39 pm
 

NCAA Tournament Projections (2:30 PM- 3/16/08)

Multiple bid conferences:

ACC (5)

Atlantic 10 (3)
Big 12 (6)
Big East (7)
Big Ten (5)
Missouri Valley (2)
Mountain West (2)
Pac-10 (5)
Sun Belt (2)

West Coast (3)


Last 4 in:

62. Illinois State
63. St. Joseph's
64. Ohio State
65. Virginia Tech

Last 4 out:

66. Villanova
67. Oregon
68. Massachusetts
69. Arizona State

Next 4 out:

70. Dayton
71. Virginia Commonwealth
72. New Mexico
73. Mississippi

Locks (56): Locks are teams that I think will make the NCAA Tournament regardless of what they do in the conference tournament. They are subject to change on a week-to-week basis. I added the other conferences to see how many at-larges could be left. Teams in bold won the automatic bid.

ACC (4): North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Miami
America East (1): Maryland-Baltimore County
Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier, Temple
Atlantic Sun (1): Belmont
Big 12 (4): Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M, Oklahoma
Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Pittsburgh, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Marquette, West Virginia
Big Sky (1): Portland State
Big South (1): Winthrop
Big Ten (4): Wisconsin, Michigan State, Purdue, Indiana
Big West (1): Cal State Fullerton
Colonial (1): George Mason
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Horizon (1): Butler
Ivy (1): Cornell
MAAC (1): Siena
Mid-American (1):
Kent State
Mid-Eastern (1): Coppin State
Missouri Valley (1): Drake
Mountain West (2): BYU, UNLV
Northeast (1): Mount St. Mary's
Ohio Valley (1): Austin Peay
Pac-10 (4): UCLA, Stanford, Southern California, Washington State
Patriot (1): American
SEC (4): Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Arkansas
Southern (1): Davidson
Southland (1): ???
Summit (1): Oral Roberts
Sun Belt (1): Western Kentucky
SWAC (1): Mississippi Valley State
WAC (1): Boise State

West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary's, San Diego

Seeding: I use the S-curve to seed my teams. The top #1 seed is in the same region as the worst #2 seed, the best #3 seed, and so on.

*Play-in game participants
**Represents seeds in which the teams are listed from best to worst

1 seeds**: North Carolina, UCLA, Memphis, Kansas
2 seeds: Georgetown, Wisconsin, Texas, Tennessee
3 seeds**: Duke, Stanford, Xavier, Louisville
4 seeds: Notre Dame, Drake, Connecticut, Pittsburgh
5 seeds**: Butler, Clemson, Indiana, Vanderbilt
6 seeds: Purdue, Marquette, Michigan State, Washington State
7 seeds**: Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Southern California, BYU
8 seeds: West Virginia, Gonzaga, Arkansas, UNLV
9 seeds**: Mississippi State, Kent State, Kansas State, St. Mary's
10 seeds: Temple, Kentucky, Miami, Davidson
11 seeds**: Arizona, South Alabama, Illinois State, Baylor
12 seeds: George Mason, Ohio State, St. Joseph's, Virginia Tech
13 seeds**: Western Kentucky, San Diego, Siena, Cornell
14 seeds: Belmont, Cal State Fullerton, Boise State, Oral Roberts
15 seeds**: Austin Peay, Portland State, Winthrop, American
16 seeds: Coppin State*, Mississippi Valley State, Northwestern State, Mount St. Mary's, Maryland-Baltimore County
Posted on: March 16, 2008 2:40 am
 

NCAA Tournament Projections (morning of 3/16/08)

Multiple bid conferences:

ACC (5)

Atlantic 10 (3)
Big 12 (6)
Big East (7)
Big Ten (5)
Missouri Valley (2)
Mountain West (2)
Pac-10 (5)
Sun Belt (2)

West Coast (3)


Last 4 in:

62. Baylor
63. Ohio State
64. St. Joseph's
65. Virginia Tech

Last 4 out:

66. Villanova
67. Massachusetts
68. Oregon
69. Virginia Commonwealth

Next 4 out:

70. Arizona State
71. Dayton
72. New Mexico
73. Mississippi

Locks (55): Locks are teams that I think will make the NCAA Tournament regardless of what they do in the conference tournament. They are subject to change on a week-to-week basis. I added the other conferences to see how many at-larges could be left. Teams in bold won the automatic bid.

ACC (4): North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Miami
America East (1): Maryland-Baltimore County
Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier, Temple
Atlantic Sun (1): Belmont
Big 12 (3): Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma
Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Marquette, West Virginia
Big Sky (1): Portland State
Big South (1): Winthrop
Big Ten (4): Wisconsin, Michigan State, Purdue, Indiana
Big West (1): Cal State Fullerton
Colonial (1): George Mason
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Horizon (1): Butler
Ivy (1): Cornell
MAAC (1): Siena
Mid-American (1):
Kent State
Mid-Eastern (1): Coppin State
Missouri Valley (1): Drake
Mountain West (2): BYU, UNLV
Northeast (1): Mount St. Mary's
Ohio Valley (1): Austin Peay
Pac-10 (4): UCLA, Stanford, Southern California, Washington State
Patriot (1): American
SEC (4): Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Arkansas
Southern (1): Davidson
Southland (1): ???
Summit (1): Oral Roberts
Sun Belt (1): Western Kentucky
SWAC (1): Mississippi Valley State
WAC (1): Boise State

West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary's, San Diego

Seeding: I use the S-curve to seed my teams. The top #1 seed is in the same region as the worst #2 seed, the best #3 seed, and so on.

*Play-in game participants
**Represents seeds in which the teams are listed from best to worst

1 seeds**: North Carolina, Tennessee, UCLA, Memphis
2 seeds: Georgetown, Wisconsin, Texas, Kansas
3 seeds**: Duke, Stanford, Xavier, Louisville
4 seeds: Connecticut, Notre Dame, Butler, Drake
5 seeds**: Michigan State, Indiana, Clemson, Pittsburgh
6 seeds: Purdue, Marquette, Washington State, Vanderbilt
7 seeds**: Southern California, BYU, Mississippi State, Gonzaga
8 seeds: Davidson, St. Mary's, West Virginia, Oklahoma
9 seeds**: Texas A&M, UNLV, Arkansas, Kent State
10 seeds: Kansas State, Miami, Arizona, Kentucky
11 seeds**: Temple, South Alabama, Illinois State, Baylor
12 seeds: Western Kentucky Virginia Tech, St. Joseph's, Ohio State
13 seeds**: George Mason, Cornell, Oral Roberts, Boise State
14 seeds: Austin Peay, Belmont, San Diego, Siena
15 seeds**: Winthrop, Cal State Fullerton, Northwestern State, Maryland-Baltimore County
16 seeds: Mississippi Valley State*
, Coppin State*, Mount St. Mary's, Portland State, American
Posted on: March 15, 2008 8:07 pm
Edited on: March 15, 2008 8:16 pm
 

NCAA Tournament Projections (evening of 3/15/08)

These projections include the following games that were played today:

Tulsa at Memphis
Hartford at UMBC
Georgia vs. Kentucky
Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin
Oklahoma vs. Texas
Duke vs. Clemson
Illinois vs. Minnesota
Winston-Salem vs. North Carolina Central
Temple vs. St. Joseph's
Kansas vs. Texas A&M
Multiple bid conferences:

ACC (5)

Atlantic 10 (3)
Big 12 (6)
Big East (7)
Big Ten (5)
Missouri Valley (2)
Mountain West (2)
Pac-10 (5)
Sun Belt (2)

West Coast (3)


Last 4 in:

62. Baylor
63. Ohio State
64. St. Joseph's
65. Virginia Tech

Last 4 out:

66. Villanova
67. Massachusetts
68. Oregon
69. Virginia Commonwealth

Next 4 out:

70. Arizona State
71. Dayton
72. New Mexico
73. Mississippi

Locks (55): Locks are teams that I think will make the NCAA Tournament regardless of what they do in the conference tournament. They are subject to change on a week-to-week basis. I added the other conferences to see how many at-larges could be left. Teams in bold won the automatic bid.

ACC (4): North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Miami
America East (1): Maryland-Baltimore County
Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier, Temple
Atlantic Sun (1): Belmont
Big 12 (3): Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma
Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Marquette, Pittsburgh, West Virginia
Big Sky (1): Portland State
Big South (1): Winthrop
Big Ten (4): Wisconsin, Michigan State, Purdue, Indiana
Big West (1): ???
Colonial (1): George Mason
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Horizon (1): Butler
Ivy (1): Cornell
MAAC (1): Siena
Mid-American (1):
Kent State
Mid-Eastern (1): ???
Missouri Valley (1): Drake
Mountain West (2): BYU, UNLV
Northeast (1): Mount St. Mary's
Ohio Valley (1): Austin Peay
Pac-10 (4): UCLA, Stanford, Southern California, Washington State
Patriot (1): American
SEC (4): Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Arkansas
Southern (1): Davidson
Southland (1): ???
Summit (1): Oral Roberts
Sun Belt (1): Western Kentucky
SWAC (1): ???
WAC (1): ???

West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary's, San Diego

Should be in (5):

Atlantic 10 (1):
St. Joseph's
Big 12 (2): Texas A&M, Kansas State
SEC (1): Kentucky
Sun Belt (1): South Alabama

Estimated at-larges available: 6

Seeding: I am now using the S-curve to seed my teams. The top #1 seed is in the same region as the worst #2 seed, the best #3 seed, and so on.

*Play-in game participants
**Represents seeds in which the teams are listed from best to worst

1 seeds**: North Carolina, Tennessee, UCLA, Memphis
2 seeds: Wisconsin, Georgetown, Texas, Kansas
3 seeds**: Duke, Stanford, Xavier, Louisville
4 seeds: Connecticut, Notre Dame, Butler, Drake
5 seeds**: Vanderbilt, Michigan State, Indiana, Clemson
6 seeds: Southern California, Purdue, Washington State, Pittsburgh
7 seeds**: BYU, Mississippi State, Marquette, Gonzaga
8 seeds: Davidson, St. Mary's, Oklahoma, West Virginia
9 seeds**: Texas A&M, Kansas State, Arkansas, Kent State
10 seeds: UNLV, Miami, Kentucky, Arizona
11 seeds**: Temple, South Alabama, Illinois State, Baylor
12 seeds: Western Kentucky Virginia Tech, St. Joseph's, Ohio State
13 seeds**: George Mason, Cornell, Oral Roberts, New Mexico State
14 seeds: Austin Peay, Belmont, San Diego, Siena
15 seeds**: Winthrop, Northwestern State, Cal State Fullerton, Maryland-Baltimore County
16 seeds: Jackson State*
, Mount St. Mary's*, Morgan State, Portland State, American
Posted on: March 15, 2008 6:29 pm
 

NCAA Tournament Projections (midday 3/15/08)

These projections include the following games that were played today:

Tulsa at Memphis
Hartford at UMBC
Georgia vs. Kentucky
Virginia Tech vs. North Carolina
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin
Oklahoma vs. Texas
Duke vs. Clemson
ACC (5)

Conference Champ: North Carolina
At-large: Duke, Clemson, Miami, Virginia Tech
Bubble Watch: Maryland, Florida State

America East (1)

Conference Champ: Maryland-Baltimore County
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Atlantic 10 (3)

Conference Champ: St. Joseph's
At-large: Xavier, Temple
Bubble Watch: Dayton, Massachusetts

Atlantic Sun (1)


Conference Champ: Belmont
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Big 12 (6)

Conference Champ: Kansas
At-large: Texas, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Kansas State, Baylor
Bubble Watch: none

Big East (7)


Conference Champ: Georgetown
At-large: Louisville, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Marquette, West Virginia
Bubble Watch: Villanova, Syracuse

Big Sky (1)

Conference Champ: Portland State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Big South (1)

Conference Champ: Winthrop
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Big Ten (5)

Conference Champ: Wisconsin
At-large: Indiana, Michigan State, Purdue, Ohio State
Bubble Watch: none

Big West (1)

Conference Champ: Cal State Fullerton
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Colonial (1)


Conference Champ: George Mason
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: Virginia Commonwealth

Conference USA (1)

Conference Champ: Memphis
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: UAB, Houston

Horizon League (1)


Conference Champ: Butler
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

**Ivy (1)

Conference Champ: Cornell
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

**The Ivy league does not have a conference tournament. The regular season champion gets the automatic bid.

Metro Atlantic (1)


Conference Champ: Siena
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Mid-American (1)

Conference Champ: Kent State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Mid-Eastern (1)

Conference Champ: Morgan State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Missouri Valley (2)


Conference Champ: Drake
At-large: Illinois State
Bubble Watch: none

Mountain West (2)

Conference Champ: BYU
At-large: UNLV
Bubble Watch: New Mexico

Northeast (1)


Conference Champ: Mount St. Mary's
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Ohio Valley (1)

Conference Champ: Austin Peay
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Pac-10 (5)

Conference Champ: UCLA
At-large: Stanford, Southern California, Washington State, Arizona
Bubble Watch: Arizona State, Oregon

Patriot (1)

Conference Champ: American
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

SEC (5)

Conference Champ: Tennessee
At-large: Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Arkansas, Kentucky
Bubble Watch: Mississippi

Southern (1)

Conference Champ: Davidson
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Southland (1)

Conference Champ: Northwestern State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Summit League (1)


Conference Champ: Oral Roberts
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

SWAC (1)

Conference Champ: Jackson State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

Sun Belt (2)


Conference Champ: Western Kentucky
At-large: South Alabama
Bubble Watch: none

WAC (1)

Conference Champ: New Mexico State
At-large: none
Bubble Watch: none

West Coast (3)


Conference Champ: San Diego
At-large: Gonzaga, St. Mary's
Bubble Watch: none

Last 4 in:

62. Baylor
63. Ohio State
64. Temple
65. Virginia Tech

Last 4 out:

66. Oregon
67. Villanova
68. Arizona State
69. Massachusetts

Next 4 out:

70. Virginia Commonwealth
71. Dayton
72. New Mexico
73. Mississippi

Locks (55): Locks are teams that I think will make the NCAA Tournament regardless of what they do in the conference tournament. They are subject to change on a week-to-week basis. I added the other conferences to see how many at-larges could be left. Teams in bold won the automatic bid.

ACC (4): North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Miami
America East (1): Maryland-Baltimore County
Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier, ???
Atlantic Sun (1): Belmont
Big 12 (3): Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma
Big East (7): Georgetown, Louisville, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Marquette, Pittsburgh, West Virginia
Big Sky (1): Portland State
Big South (1): Winthrop
Big Ten (4): Wisconsin, Michigan State, Purdue, Indiana
Big West (1): ???
Colonial (1): George Mason
Conference USA (1): Memphis
Horizon (1): Butler
Ivy (1): Cornell
MAAC (1): Siena
Mid-American (1):
Kent State
Mid-Eastern (1): ???
Missouri Valley (1): Drake
Mountain West (2): BYU, UNLV
Northeast (1): Mount St. Mary's
Ohio Valley (1): Austin Peay
Pac-10 (4): UCLA, Stanford, Southern California, Washington State
Patriot (1): American
SEC (4): Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Mississippi State, Arkansas
Southern (1): Davidson
Southland (1): ???
Summit (1): Oral Roberts
Sun Belt (1): Western Kentucky
SWAC (1): ???
WAC (1): ???

West Coast (3): Gonzaga, St. Mary's, San Diego

Should be in (5):

Atlantic 10 (1):
St. Joseph's
Big 12 (2): Texas A&M, Kansas State
SEC (1): Kentucky
Sun Belt (1): South Alabama

Estimated at-larges available: 6

Seeding: I am now using the S-curve to seed my teams. The top #1 seed is in the same region as the worst #2 seed, the best #3 seed, and so on.

*Play-in game participants
**Represents seeds in which the teams are listed from best to worst

1 seeds**: North Carolina, Tennessee, UCLA, Memphis
2 seeds: Wisconsin, Georgetown, Texas, Kansas
3 seeds**:  Duke, Stanford, Xavier, Louisville
4 seeds: Connecticut, Notre Dame, Butler, Drake
5 seeds**: Vanderbilt, Michigan State, Indiana, Clemson
6 seeds: Southern California, Purdue, Washington State, Pittsburgh
7 seeds**: BYU, Mississippi State, Marquette, Gonzaga
8 seeds: Davidson, St. Mary's, Oklahoma, West Virginia
9 seeds**: Kansas State, Texas A&M, Arkansas, Arizona
10 seeds: Kent State, UNLV, Miami, Kentucky
11 seeds**: South Alabama, St. Joseph's, Illinois State, Baylor
12 seeds: Western Kentucky Virginia Tech, Temple, Ohio State
13 seeds**: George Mason, Cornell, Oral Roberts, New Mexico State
14 seeds: Austin Peay, Belmont, San Diego, Siena
15 seeds**: Winthrop, Northwestern State, Cal State Fullerton, Maryland-Baltimore County
16 seeds: Jackson State*
, Mount St. Mary's*, Morgan State, Portland State, American
 
 
 
 
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